Monthly Archives: April 1999

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Economic Risk Theory (SPbSTU Press, 1999)

The modern approaches to forecasting critical conditions and catastrophic events in complex economic systems are introduced. Examples of application of quantitative methods of the economic risk theory to analysis of stability and diagnostics in economic systems based on statistical and/or nonlinear processing of time series are represented. The main attention is devoted to ways of holistic modeling of stochastic economic system behavior and problems of quantitative estimation of economic risks. […]

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Decision making theory (SPbSTU Press, 1999)

Modern mathematical methods and approaches to solving various applied problems in frames of the general decision making theory are considered. The decision making theory deals with the process of optimal alternative selection from a set of possible alternatives and corresponding models. Exposition includes types of conditions for making the decision: full information condition (criteria analysis), risk or uncertainty condition (game theory) and partial information condition (statistical games or games against […]

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